Ex-DeepMind research head Vinyals: AI self-improvement won't cause intelligence explosion

Oriol Vinyals, who recently led research at Google DeepMind, argues that AI systems improving themselves will not produce a sudden jump to superintelligence. He estimates AI could make research roughly ten times faster, but says progress still depends on human-like intuition for picking the right problems and on trustworthy ways to evaluate results. Those two limits, he suggests, keep recursive self-improvement from exploding.